Markets
Live prediction-market odds on the races, policy fights, and Texas storylines we cover — priced in real time by traders on Kalshi.
Texas Elections
TX SEN
Live
Texas Senate winner
-
James Talarico
D
62%
— 0pt
-
Ken Paxton
R
38%
▼ 1pt
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TX GOV
Live
Texas Governor winner
-
Greg Abbott
R
76%
— 0pt
-
Gina Hinojosa
D
25%
▼ 1pt
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TX AG
Texas Attorney General
-
Mayes Middleton
R
73%
-
Nathan Johnson
D
27%
TX RRC
Texas Railroad Commissioner winner
-
Jon Rosenthal
D
56%
-
Bo French
R
44%
TX LTGOV
Texas Lieutenant Governor
-
Dan Patrick
R
73%
-
Vikki Goodwin
D
27%
TX AGCOM
Texas Commissioner of Agriculture winner
-
Nate Sheets
R
61%
-
Clayton Tucker
D
42%
BLEXAS
Will any Democrat win a statewide race in Texas? (Blexas)
Yes
65%
▲ 5pt 24h
TX DEM SEATS
How many Texas House seats will Democrats win?
11
22%
— 0pt 24h
TX-15
TX-15 House race winner
Bobby Pulido
84%
— 0pt 24h
TX-23
TX-23 House race winner
Brandon Herrera
72%
▲ 1pt 24h
TX-35
TX-35 House race winner
Johnny C. Garcia
61%
— 0pt 24h
TX-34
TX-34 House race winner
Vicente Gonzalez
85%
— 0pt 24h
TX-28
TX-28 House race winner
Henry Cuellar
92%
▲ 1pt 24h
TX-32
TX-32 House race winner
Jace Yarbrough
87%
— 0pt 24h
TX-09
TX-09 House race winner
Alex Mealer
85%
— 0pt 24h
Energy, Commodities & Weather
TX GAS HIGH
How high will Texas gas prices get this year?
Above $4.20
43%
— 0pt 24h
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ERCOT PEAK
Peak ERCOT electricity demand this year
Above 91,500 MW
4%
— 0pt 24h
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TX GAS LOW
How low will Texas gas prices get this year?
Below $2.30
1%
— 0pt 24h
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WTI
Oil price (WTI) today
$117 or above
6%
▲ 3pt 24h
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US GAS
US gas prices this week
Above 4.3200
2%
▼ 1pt 24h
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NAT GAS
Natural gas price today
Above $3.195
91%
▲ 91pt 24h
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WTI EOY
How high will oil (WTI) get by year end?
$115.01 or above
39%
▲ 7pt 24h
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WTI/BRENT
Annual return: WTI vs. Brent
Brent Crude Oil
81%
▼ 3pt 24h
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ATX RAIN
Rain in Austin this month
Above 4 inches
13%
▼ 3pt 24h
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Sports
National Politics & Geopolitics
TALARICO Q3
Talarico for Texas total receipts (Q3)
Above $25M
99%
HORMUZ
When will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
Before Jan 1, 2029
66%
US-IRAN
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before Jan 20, 2029
40%
IMPEACH
Will Trump be impeached?
Before Jan 1, 2028
66%
GAS TAX
Will the federal gas tax be suspended?
Before Jan 1, 2027
8%
US HOUSE
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Democratic Party
90%
US SENATE
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Democratic Party
62%